Supervised Learning
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Supervised Machine Learning to guess the anonymous authors of the HD Fan Fair 2019 by bafflinghaze
Fandoms: Harry Potter - J. K. Rowling
15 Dec 2019
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Summary
Anonymous fests are a great way to read new works by authors without prior preconceptions of popularity.
A particular feature of the Harry/Draco Fan Fair is the guessing poll, that emerges in the grace period after all works are revealed, but before all contributors are revealed. Guessing podficcers and artists is relatively straightforward. Guessing writers, however, is much more difficult.
Here, we use supervised machine learning to guess the identity of the anonymous authors of the Harry/Draco Fan Fair 2019. We find that machine learning can predict up to 60% authors correctly. In contrast, the best guesses in the poll amounted to 18%, hence machine learning gives a marked advantage.
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